Over the past few days, I have been doing extensive research trying to find a global temperature anomaly dataset dating back to at least 1880, which hopefully wouldn’t be tampered with like NASA’s and NOAA’s are. So, I started off with climatologists Dr. Roy Spencer and Dr. John Christy from UAH. They have been monitoring global temperature for over a decade now. They use satellite measurements and they start their graphs in 1979, which was the start of the satellite era.
According to their graph below, you can see that there has been almost no warming, if any at all since 1998.
However, I wanted to go back further, because 1979 to 2018 is only 39 years. I had no choice but to plug in some of NOAA’s fraudulent data for the time period before 1979. Here is what the results show.
According to my long-term temperature graph, temperatures have [naturally] risen by about 0.5 degrees Celsius since the 1880s. However, most of the warming took place during the 1920s and 1930s, where temperatures rose about 0.35 degrees Celsius. Tony Heller has recently said on the James Delingpole Show, that “…there has been little if no warming at all since the 1940s,” in which Tony was correct.
In fact since the 1940s, global temperatures have only risen about 0.15 degrees Celsius, of which most of that warming took place between 1985 and 1998 after the global freezing scare.
There was a massive global cooling event between 1955 and 1985, which made global temperatures drop by about 0.3 degrees Celsius.
TOP 5 PROBLEMS WITH THE GLOBAL TEMPERATURE RECORD
So here are my top five problems with the global temperature record, including problems with my OWN dataset.
Problem #1.) The data is often tampered with by government agencies.
NASA and NOAA make every year cooler before 1930, they make everything warmer after 1980, they erase the 1930s-1950s warm period (just as warm if not warmer than today), and they erase the global cooling which took place between 1955 and 1985.
Overlay courtesy of Tony Heller
If you plot the actual data, like I did, then we will see that sunspot cycles almost directly align with global temperature trends.
Problem #2.) NASA and NOAA forget that the global temperatures change due to solar cycles and changes in the PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation), which can change for multiple reasons, such as sunspot cycles.
As the graph depicts below, we can see that as the PDO turns positive (the Central Pacific gets warmer), then the global temperatures get warmer. As the PDO turns negative (the Central Pacific gets cooler), then the global temperatures fall. Occasionally, they may make mention of the PDO cycles influencing global temperature or weather patterns, but they usually say it has NO correlation with long-term temperature. However, we can see that there actually is a correlation, but there is a lag time in which the global mean temperature responds.
Problem #3.) NASA ‘makes’ carbon dioxide the control knob of global temperature and they leave out the natural variation, such as sunspot cycles and the PDO.
Problem #4.) We used to use GHCN and USHCN station data, then we switched to strictly satellites in the early 1990s.
The USA was one of the first places to set up weather stations across the country and take daily measurements or temperature or precipitation, then average the data every which way. Then these stations started popping up all around the globe. They were known as GHCN (Global Historical Climatology Network) stations (USHCN in the USA). By 1979, these weather stations started to cease operation, as the satellite era came about. By 1990, most of them were gone and by 1995, only the USCHN stations remained.
Personally, I would rather not use the satellite data because satellites aren’t an actual measurement of temperature. They reflect what is coming off of the surface, clouds, or oceans, which can make the temperature 1 – 2 degrees Celsius above (usually above) or below what it actually is. The GHCN station data is/was far more accurate than the satellite data, if the thermometer is placed at least 15 feet above the ground and half in the shade, and half in the sun, or just simply not in a spot that is too shady or too sunny. The only issue with station data would be the fact that it might be in a large city with a large ‘urban heat island effect.’
Reason #5 a.) We started taking temperature measurements as we ascended out of the Little Ice Age.
The ‘Little Ice Age’ or Maunder Minimum was a period of low sunspot activity which started around 1615 and ended sometime between 1750 and 1800. Then there was the second half of the Little Ice Age known as the Dalton Minimum which was during the early and mid 1800s. As you can see, the global temperature rose after 1850 and fell between 1880 and 1920 into another Grand Solar Minimum known as the Glasberg Minimum. During all of these minimums, the global temperature would be 1 – 2 degrees Celsius below what it was during the 1930s – 1950s or now.
Problem #5 b.) There were a lack of GHCN stations before the 1950s.
In 1900, the United States was the only country with a lot of GHCN stations. In fact, if you looked anywhere else, they would be few and far between. In my honest opinion, you can’t really calculate global average temperature over a long period of time, while constantly opening and closing temperature stations around the world, nevertheless starting with one hundred of them in per say 1892 and then have ten thousand GHCN stations by 1950. It doesn’t work that way folks. Furthermore, you can’t expect to make an accurate graph of global temperature anomalies by using a limited number of station data for averages during the 19th and early 20th century, then using a lot of them during the 1930s – 1980s, then switching to satellite data, which only reflects what is seen on the ocean surface, land surface, or clouds.
Even though it is NOT fully reliable, proxy data from ice cores, fossils, and tree rings, is the only way we can keep a consistent measurement of temperature over a long period of time, since the formation of Earth. If we want to measure the global temperature NOW in the present-day, then we need to reopen GHCN stations and make sure they are placed correctly. Satellites make the temperature anomalies warmer by only reflecting what is seen on the surface.